flood.capital / research workbench

BOT NAV Model

Scenario model for RoboStrategy NAV/share, portfolio marks, follow-on rounds, and premium-to-NAV share issuance.

Baseline: June 30, 2026 NAV · SEC filing

Refreshed August 21, 2026 from SEC EDGAR

Scale: $mm = millions, $B = billions, x = valuation multiple

NAV/share after scenario

$29.14

171.7% vs pre-issuance

Total NAV after scenario

$2.24B

76.9mm shares

Before new share sale

$10.73

$256.5mm NAV

New-share sale price

$37.71

3.52x NAV · 53.0mm new shares

Private holdings value

$161.5mm

$0.0mm mark change

Premium to hit target

929.4%

$29.14 implied price

Scenario in plain English

Starting from $248.9mm of published NAV ($10.51/share), this scenario includes $7.6mm of announced PIPE cash, sells $2.00B of new shares at $37.71 (3.52x NAV), applies $0.0mm of private-company markup, funds no follow-on checks, and lands at $29.14/share.

PIPE cash $7.6mmNew shares $2.00B at 3.52x NAVPortfolio delta $0.0mmFollow-ons $0.0mmEnding shares 76.9mm
What moved NAV

Published NAV

$248.9mm

Included PIPE cash

$7.6mm

New share net cash

$1.99B

Portfolio mark change

$0.0mm

Deployment uplift

$0.0mm

Funded follow-ons

$0.0mm

Next financing rounds off; no follow-on checks applied
Largest modeled holdings

Figure AI, Inc.

$37.3mm

Dyna, Inc.

$37.2mm

Dexmate, Inc.

$25.4mm

Apptronik, Inc. - SPV

$19.5mm

Apptronik, Inc. - Direct

$17.7mm

Standard Bots

$7.0mm

Path Robotics, Inc.

$6.0mm

Project Prometheus

$3.5mm

Share issuance sensitivity: ending NAV/share

Ending NAV/share across raise sizes and issue premiums, holding the other assumptions constant.

Sale price / raise$1.00B$2.00B$5.00B$10.00B$50.00B$100.00B
50.0% (1.50x)$14.52$15.13$15.60$15.78$15.94$15.96
100.0% (2.00x)$17.72$19.15$20.32$20.79$21.20$21.25
200.0% (3.00x)$22.73$26.06$29.13$30.44$31.64$31.80
300.0% (4.00x)$26.47$31.80$37.18$39.65$41.97$42.29
500.0% (6.00x)$31.68$40.79$51.40$56.82$62.33$63.11

Existing company assumptions

Edit company valuations, mark multiples, future round sizes, and modeled follow-on checks.

CompanyCurrent FVCompany val ($B)Mark (x) Future raise ($B)Desired checkFunded checkOwnershipSelected FVDelta

Figure AI, Inc.

Humanoid Robotics

$37.3mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm0.10%$37.3mm$0.0mm

Dyna, Inc.

General Purpose Robotics

$37.2mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm3.72%$37.2mm$0.0mm

Dexmate, Inc.

General Purpose Robotics

$25.4mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm5.09%$25.4mm$0.0mm

Apptronik, Inc. - SPV

Humanoid Robotics

$19.5mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm0.37%$19.5mm$0.0mm

Apptronik, Inc. - Direct

Humanoid Robotics

$17.7mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm0.33%$17.7mm$0.0mm

Standard Bots

Industrial Automation

$7.0mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm0.70%$7.0mm$0.0mm

Path Robotics, Inc.

Industrial Automation

$6.0mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm0.60%$6.0mm$0.0mm

Project Prometheus

General Physical AI

$3.5mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm0.35%$3.5mm$0.0mm

REK, Inc.

Humanoid Robotics

$2.5mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm1.00%$2.5mm$0.0mm

GMI Computing Ltd.

Cloud Infrastructure

$2.0mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm0.04%$2.0mm$0.0mm

Cyan Robotics, Inc.

Logistics

$1.5mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm0.75%$1.5mm$0.0mm

Nox Metals, Inc.

Advanced Manufacturing

$0.8mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm0.75%$0.8mm$0.0mm

Endiatx, Inc.

Medical Robotics

$0.5mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm0.50%$0.5mm$0.0mm

Allonic, Inc.

Robotics Infrastructure

$0.3mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm0.15%$0.3mm$0.0mm

Purple Rhombus LLC

Defense Robotics

$0.3mm
1.00x
$0.0mm$0.0mm0.13%$0.3mm$0.0mm

New investment guesses

Hypothetical deployments of announced PIPE cash before an official NAV update is published.

IncludeInvestmentCheck ($mm)Pre-money ($B)Raise ($B)Mark (x)OwnershipSelected FVDelta
1.00x
0.03%$0.0mm$0.0mm
1.00x
0.13%$0.0mm$0.0mm
1.00x
0.68%$0.0mm$0.0mm
1.00x
0.91%$0.0mm$0.0mm
1.00x
2.22%$0.0mm$0.0mm